The Morning Run is a daily compilation of links, news and commentary.
Plenty of action this weekend on and off the track. The London Marathon is on Sunday and, as Nick Zaccardi of Sports Illustrated points out, many of the world’s top track runners will also be in action.
Predictions from this week’s podcast.
Men: Vincent Kipruto, Emmanuel Mutai, Tsegay Kebede
Women: Mary Keitany, Florence Kiplagat, Ejegayehu Dibaba
Men: Emmanuel Mutai, Tsegay Kebede, Patrick Makau
Women: Mary Keitany, Edna Kiplagat, Aberu Kebede
I stuck with the chaos theory theme of this year’s marathon season and chose Vincent Kipruto to upset all four of the Kenyans still in Olympic consideration. Even with a win, Athletics Kenyan is still likely to choose from the original six of Geoffrey Mutai, Emmaneul Mutai, Moses Mosop, Wilson Kipsang, Abel Kirui and Patrick Makau. Here is what needs to happen for each to qualify:
Geoffrey Mutai: Since his DNF in Boston, all Mutai can do is wait and watch on Sunday. His phenomenal 2011 should count for something, so he is probably safe unless 3 or more Kenyans dip under the 2:04:30 mark in London.
Moses Mosop: Like Geoffrey Mutai, Mosop has already raced his spring marathon (3rd place in Rotterdam) so his Olympic hopes rest on the performances in London. However, Mosop needs much more help than G. Mutai. Some modest times combined with upsets (Lel or Kipruto being the top Kenyan for example) are his only path to the top three.
Emmanuel Mutai: The defending London Marathon champion benefitted from Geoffrey Mutai’s and Moses Mosop’s losses, but most likely he still needs to finish in the top three and beat at least two of the three top Kenyans racing (Makau, Kirui, Kipsang). He may also be able to squeak in with a lower place, if the times are very fast (under 2:04) and he finishes well amongst his countrymen.
Patrick Makau: Like Mutai, I think he can only lose to one Kenyan on Sunday and still be in a good position for selection. Despite holding the world record, his Berlin performance came in a paced race against a weaker than expected field. He has wins over Geoffrey Mutai from 2010, but I doubt those carry much weight now. As it stands, he is ahead of Kipsang and Kirui, so a loss on Sunday to either of those two, would probably mean he is off the team.
Abel Kirui: Based on time, Kirui is least credentialed of the six. He has won two world championship titles, which is the only reason he is still in consideration for a berth. I think he needs a top 3 overall performance as well as the second Kenyan to have any hope of jumping over the others.
Wilson Kipsang: No major marathon wins and no wins against the other five in consideration make Kipsang a darkhorse to make the team. He was just seconds off the world record in Frankfurt, but, like Makau, it was done in a paced race. It is hard to envision him getting the nod over Makau, or either of the Mutais unless he has a decisive victory and runs under 2:04 again.
The rest of the Morning Run:
Cam Levins beat Lawi Lalang in the 5,000 at Mt. SAC last night and earned the Olympic “A” standard in the process.
Kenyan 800 meter stars David Rudisha and Pamela Jelimo recorded wins in the 400.
Ken Goe’s Saturday links.
LA Times feature on Brittney Reese titled “Brittney Reese hopes to be leaps and bounds above the rest.” Because she is a long jumper.
Headline writers, yearbook editors and any others in charge of “punny” titles to articles. Please avoid the following:
-“___________ raises the bar” (high jump/pole vault)
-“___________ clears hurdles/obstacles on/off the track” (hurdles)
-“____________ is on the fast track” (sprints)
-“_____________ goes the distance” (distance)
Enjoy your London Marathon, Mt. SAC Relays, Kansas Relays, Oregon Relays, Tom Jones Meet weekend!